Rosehill Gardens is the place to be on Saturday because the Sydney Autumn Carnival’s showpiece, the Golden Slipper, is run. Learn on for a full round-up of one of the best bets forward one of many largest days on the racing calendar.
Anybody who witnessed Sugar Bella’s first-up win needed to be impressed; the Kris Lees educated filly was slowly away and was in the back of the sphere as they turned for residence, and plenty of would have been giving up, particularly contemplating they actually hadn’t gone that shortly up entrance.
However, the actual fact they did not go at a breakneck pace, was the precise purpose why she was in a position to get residence excessive of them. This lady has a devastating flip of foot, and since she was inside an affordable putting distance once they balanced up for the run residence, moderately than 10+ lengths off the frontrunners, she was in a position to be dropped at the surface and showcase that burst of acceleration to win in scintillating style.
I said on this column after we tipped her there that the Birthday Card and the Sapphire Stakes seem like the right targets for her over the Autumn Carnival. Right here she is within the first a kind of the place she has drawn completely and remains to be nicely in as she rises in grade.
She’s confirmed on gradual surfaces and so long as she jumps with them, I can not see something beating her. Sugar Bella is a real high shelf mare within the making and it will be no shock to see her win this, the Sapphire and who is aware of; they could even shoot as excessive as a Doomben 10,000 this prep, relying on what else targets the Brisbane Winter.
AROUND THE GROUNDS
For a gaggle one dash, Friday night time’s William Reid is a little bit devoid of real early pace. In truth, a lot of the subject are “get back” brief course gallopers and will probably be attention-grabbing to see what techniques get used as some might need to be out of their consolation zone.
I can envisage Thronum main the race from barrier three, and though Secret Agenda acquired a good means again first up when profitable brilliantly, I might think about Mick Value will need Damien Oliver to look to cross and sit outdoors Thronum from barrier eight. She’s a really versatile kind and we have seen her go ahead in six furlong races beforehand, most notably when main all the way in which to win her lone group one in final Could’s Robert Sangster Stakes.
She’s actually fairly an underrated mare; she’s gained virtually $1.four million, has a number of group race victories to her title and has gained at two, three, 4 and 5. That is a really uncommon achievement for any racehorse.
She likes the Valley, will solely be higher for that first-up run and in the event that they make use of the techniques I feel they may, she will add a second main to her resume.
He is not going to ever be a gaggle one horse, however Beau Geste is, at worst, able to profitable black kind and I feel he is discovered himself in a extremely appropriate race to interrupt by in stakes grade right here within the Darby Munro.
He is gained in gradual floor, in order that’s an excellent begin with the possible observe circumstances, and a few of that kind from final spring appears rock strong for a race like this, together with the Roman Consul inserting behind proficient stablemate Viridine and his unfortunate shut up fourth within the Carbine Membership at Flemington.
Beau Geste’s first-up effort towards older horses was eye-catching when he flashed up late behind Bolero King at Warwick Farm, because it took him some time to steadiness up. However when he did he rocketed late.
I Am Excited, the possible favorite right here, is a stunning filly whose two wins this time in have been nice. However she would not look as nicely in right here in comparison with these races as she’s getting the identical weight as a number of of the males together with Beau Geste; that is perhaps I’m Excited’s undoing and I can envisage Beau Geste being the one to reap the benefits of that.
The Manion Cup subject appears to fall away fairly shortly after the highest few available in the market and of those that search for this degree, Lord Fandango jumps out at me as clearly one of the best galloper within the race with out copping a handicap that will hinder him profitable it.
Here is a horse that gained a serious lead-up to the Cups within the Spring within the Herbert Energy, earlier than acquitting himself splendidly nicely when fourth within the Caulfield Cup – that kind of kind is grades above what most of those have both competed at or able to competing at.
He is had the 4 runs again now, all in high class firm, and wasn’t distant within the messy Australian Cup. He regarded each bit a horse that desires the mile and a half taking a look at that effort, which in essence is his pet journey, and he actually should be giving a few of his rivals right here on the restrict nearer to seven or eight kilos, moderately than the three and half that he has to.
Some query mark with the moist, however so long as it isn’t heavy that should not be an excessive amount of of a problem. He simply seems to be so suited on this and anticipate that quote to trim up nearer to the race.
There’d hardly be a much bigger Daylight fan on the planet than myself. I feel she’s within the very high echelon of two-year-olds that I’ve seen within the flesh, spanning about 30 one thing years of following racing, and I will probably be sticking together with her for the Golden Slipper, rain, hail or shine come Saturday.
Ideally, it is the latter of these three that happens within the 24 hours main into the race. Clearly the moist observe is an unknown, as it’s with most juveniles – but when it could actually keep within the Smooth 6 vary or higher, I will really feel assured she will deal with it.
Some wished to play her final begin win within the Magic Evening as a “regress” from her Silver Slipper victory; however for me, she went fairly laborious early, shook off any challengers (have a look at the place Setsuna completed who sat outdoors her), and did the final half comfortably beneath no actual strain. I’ve acquired little doubt they did not do a complete heap together with her between the Silver Slipper and the Magic Evening, and that can now have her tightened proper up for the Grand Closing.
She attracts completely, is educated to the minute, will get a gun run behind a scorching pace and when Luke Currie asks her for a supreme effort, and I am not even satisfied that is really been requested of her but, I feel we’ll see a filly of the ages step up for her crowning second.
OVER THE ODDS
the New Zealand Derby was a surprisingly run race. There was loads of motion all through the race, with horses taking off and others being restrained; messy, however nonetheless actually run, is the way in which by which I might describe it, and I feel Mission Hill was one of many horses that form of acquired misplaced in a few of the motion round him and ended up in an undesirable place.
I believed he caught on very well after one way or the other being seven or eight extensive once they straightened for residence, and you may argue that the son of Teofilo did not fairly run out the mile and a half. However I do suppose he is a really elegant center distance kind within the making and from a pleasant draw right here I can see him getting an excellent run simply off the pace.
We all know how deadly the Baker/Forsman combo are once they deliver their runners out right here, particularly the three-year-olds, and he may very well be the forgotten one among their trio they’ve introduced over for this. I like the Damian Lane reserving as nicely and that $17 quote will probably be getting a few of mine.
Leg 1 – 1,2,four,eight,9,13,14,15
Leg 2 – 1,three,10
Leg three – 1,three,eight,10,13
Leg four – three
($100 = 83.33%)
Leg 1 – 1,2,three,four,7,eight
Leg 2 – 2
Leg three – 6,7,eight,9,10
Leg four – 2,three,7,eight,12,14
($100 = 55.55%)