Wealthy how a lot of an opportunity do you give Darnold to start out week 1? #jetsmail
— Joseph Cusumano (@JosephCusumano3) Might 11, 2018
@RichCimini: I could make it actual easy, Joe: When Darnold is deemed prepared by coach Todd Bowles, he would be the beginning quarterback. It actually would not matter how Josh McCown and Teddy Bridgewater carry out within the preseason. They’re the supporting actors on this new manufacturing; Darnold is the star of the present and it is unnecessary to carry him again if he can operate within the place.
Based mostly on current NFL historical past, I might say there is a 65 p.c likelihood he’ll begin Week 1. The place did I provide you with that quantity? Of the 17 quarterbacks picked within the high 10 within the 2008 to 2017 drafts, 11 began on opening day. Mitchell Trubisky (fifth sport), Blake Bortles (fourth) and Blaine Gabbert (third) have been shut behind.
Ethical of the story: For those who’re investing that a lot in a quarterback, do not be afraid to play him as a rookie. It won’t be fairly — solely 4 of the 17 made the playoffs — however tackling the rising pains is a crucial evil.
I can see the Jets following a Trubisky-like path, and here is why: Bowles is old-school on the subject of enjoying unproven gamers, particularly at quarterback, and I believe he’ll lean towards McCown to start out the season. The schedule additionally might be an element.
Three of the primary 4 video games are on the highway, together with the opener (Detroit), a Thursday night time/quick week in Week three (Cleveland) and a showdown towards one of the best protection within the league in Week four (Jacksonville). That is a formidable stretch for any quarterback, not to mention a rookie.
After Week four, the schedule is tailored for breaking in a neophyte quarterback: three consecutive residence video games. That, I imagine, is the Darnold window.
Darnold most likely will get the vast majority of the reps within the preseason, simply as Christian Hackenberg did final summer time, so he may have each alternative to say the job that has his title on it. As soon as he proves he can execute Jeremy Bates’ offense, he ought to be given the keys to the automobile. Based mostly on the present personnel, it’s extra like a used pickup truck.
One on-line sportsbook places the over/beneath on the variety of Darnold begins at 5.5. I am stunned it is that low. If Darnold begins fewer than six video games, that might be disappointing for the Jets.